Official Octopus Overlords Election Game Day Thread (tm)

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:30 pm

We needed one, so here it is. Feel free to contribute stuff you see in the various media.

If you can, try to attribute ("I saw this on FOX News" or "I heard this on NPR" or "this is posted at Instapundit...").

Let's keep it civil; at the end of the day, we're (most of us) on the same team. Now let's watch this unfold, shall we?

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:32 pm

Mine's official! And posted first!

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:33 pm

.Great minds think alike...

Mr. Sparkle · Post by **Mr. Sparkle** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:34 pm

Damn, I was hoping for a rumble.

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:34 pm

Deleted my thread.

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:34 pm

Kinda strange how we both posted pretty much not only the same thread, but also the same instructions, huh? (re: attributions, etc.)

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:35 pm

From Race 2004:

It's now after 6pm eastern. Polls have begun closing in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. Neither state will be called until after 7pm when the remainder of the states close.

So let me be the first: "Kentucky and Indiana are officially going for George W. Bush. George Bush now leads the electoral race with 19 electoral votes."

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:37 pm

First question:

The polls "close" in NH, KY, IN, VA, GA, SC, and VT at 7:00 EST.

If you're standing in line when they close, I assume you get to vote. That's a good rule.

Now then: will the networks begin to relay results while people might be standing in line? I don't think it'll be that major in any of the 7:00 states, but when we get to OH, PA, and FL, it sure could be. Estimates in OH are that people will be standing in line to vote almost until 10:00....

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:37 pm

triggercut wrote: Kinda strange how we both posted pretty much not only the same thread, but also the same instructions, huh? (re: attributions, etc.)

Well, after last election, it's not that strange.

The Meal · Post by **The Meal** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:39 pm

Thanks guys. This'll make Mr. NoTV (i.e., me) have an easier time of it tonight. I just want you to know we're all counting on you.

~Neal
[edit to add current scorecard:]
KY (Race 2004) Bush 8
IN (Race 2004) Bush 11
Total: Bush: 19, Kerry 0

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:39 pm

triggercut wrote:First question:

The polls "close" in NH, KY, IN, VA, GA, SC, and VT at 7:00 EST.

If you're standing in line when they close, I assume you get to vote. That's a good rule.

I think that's the rule, but I seem to remember that last election, people were turned away after a certain time in some states.

Now then: will the networks begin to relay results while people might be standing in line? I don't think it'll be that major in any of the 7:00 states, but when we get to OH, PA, and FL, it sure could be. Estimates in OH are that people will be standing in line to vote almost until 10:00....

I expect for the battleground states that are close, it'll take an hour or two before they call (maybe even longer just to be extra cautious this time).

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:40 pm

On BBC1 right now, along the ticker at the bottom:

"A few key states could decide the outcome of the election."

Well DUH!!!!!!!

Pointer

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:41 pm

NBC: first exit polls

Direction of the country: 50% wrong, 47% right track
Safer from terrorism: 52% felt safer, 43% less safe
Job approval: 51% approve, 47% dissaprove

More: 91% of republicans approve, 84% of democrats dissaprove.

Captain Caveman · Post by **Captain Caveman** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:41 pm

Watch Ohio and Florida closely. These states could determine the outcome of the election. Also, carrots are orange.

Dirt · Post by **Dirt** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:42 pm

triggercut wrote:Mine's official! And posted first!

So much for civil...

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:43 pm

AOL Exit Poll Favors Bush

A reader points out that as of about 5:50 p.m., the AOL online exit poll has about 371,000 votes at 57-41 for Bush. The AOL poll is, of course, completely unscientific, but is it any less so than the exit polls whose numbers are flying around the web?

From www.powerlineblog.com

The phrase "clutching to straws" comes to mind.

Pointer

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 pm

Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:Mine's official! And posted first!
So much for civil...

Yeah, you showed up.

Dirt · Post by **Dirt** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:45 pm

triggercut wrote:
Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:Mine's official! And posted first!
So much for civil...
Yeah, you showed up.

Strike 2.

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:47 pm

These polls close in ten minutes right? Anybody wanna call them?

Indiana
Kentucky
South Carolina
Vermont
Virginia

Pointer

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:49 pm

Pointer wrote:These polls close in ten minutes right? Anybody wanna call them?

Indiana
Kentucky
South Carolina
Vermont
Virginia

Pointer

VT for Kerry, others should go for Bush. VA is the one to watch. If the networks can't declare that one early on, it could mean some trouble for the Pres and validate some of the exit polls.

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:50 pm

Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:
Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:Mine's official! And posted first!
So much for civil...
Yeah, you showed up.
Strike 2.

Can I get strike three by wondering if you possess a sense of humor?

Dirt · Post by **Dirt** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:51 pm

triggercut wrote:
Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:
Dirt wrote:
triggercut wrote:Mine's official! And posted first!
So much for civil...
Yeah, you showed up.
Strike 2.
Can I get strike three by wondering if you possess a sense of humor?

Foul ball.

Rincewind · Post by **Rincewind** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:52 pm

I am thinking based on late trends that VA might actually go Kerry-it will be interesting to watch.

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:52 pm

Just wanted to share this link with people:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/a ... efault.stm

It is updating constantly and is very easy to follow.

Pointer

rrmorton · Post by **rrmorton** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:53 pm

Serously, Dirt?... You think "Mine's official!" was meant to be taken at face value? Wow.

Thanks for pointering me to that BBC link, Pointer.

The Meal · Post by **The Meal** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:56 pm

Pointer wrote:Just wanted to share this link with people:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/a ... efault.stm

It is updating constantly and is very easy to follow.

Thanks, Pointer. That's a terrific site!

~Neal
KY (Race 2004) Bush 8
IN (Race 2004) Bush 11
Total: Bush: 19, Kerry 0

Dirt · Post by **Dirt** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:57 pm

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:58 pm

+1 to Pointer. BBC once again has the dope.

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:00 pm

NBC and others reporting the expected results from 4 states.

IN, KY, and GA are Bush. 34 total EV.

VT is Kerry. 3 EV.

Conspicuous by their immediate absence: VA and SC.

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:00 pm

From the BBC:

"Turnout up 9% in Kentucky"

Pointer

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:01 pm

Breaking news:

Tim Russert has upgraded his white board to an electonic pad.

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:02 pm

BBC are calling the exact same as NBC.

Pointer

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:05 pm

Another great Electoral Map, a bit more detail than the BBC one, in fact you can go right down to precinct level:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/ ... president/

Pointer

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:05 pm

Here's the night's first bombshell: 10,000 absentee ballots in Philadelphia will not be counted until 9:30 tomorrow. A circuit judge upheld a Republican challenge that said the GOP didn't get an accurate list of absentee voters so they could challenge.

Federal judge to review, and both sides will start counting tomorrow AM.

Philadelphia has a 5-1 ratio of Democrats to Republicans.

This may keep them from calling PA until tomorrow....

Defiant · Post by **Defiant** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:05 pm

CNN: all states projected as expected except SC and VA

NBC: Philly(?) absentee ballets wont be counted until tomorrow 9:30am

NBC: SC and VA too close to be called.

NBC:Republicans pick up senate seat in GA.

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:07 pm

NBC: "SC to *early* to call, VA to *close* to call."

Presumably, good news for the challenger.

Pointer · Post by **Pointer** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:07 pm

It's amazing to me how states can be called with only 2% of precincts reporting. Not arguing with that, just find it fascinating.

Sorry, I'll shut up now

Pointer

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:08 pm

GA senate seat was Zell Miller's.

Talk about "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss." At least now the Republican from the Peach state will be, well, a Republican.

Steron · Post by **Steron** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:11 pm

Per Fox News and others.

Bush
------
Alabama - 9
Tennessee - 11
Oklahoma - 7
Indiana - 11
Kentucky - 8
Georgia - 15
West Virginia - 5
------
66

Kerry
-------
Illinois - 21
Maryland - 10
D.C. - 3
New Jersey - 15
Delaware - 3
Connecticut - 7
Massachusetts - 12
Vermont - 3
-------
74

triggercut · Post by **triggercut** » Tue Nov 02, 2004 8:11 pm

Huh. Mongiardo running 55-45 over Bunning in KY Senate race.

Exit polls had Bunning +4.