SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by jztemple2 »

Zaxxon wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:22 pm And JZ, in my head when I was typing 'orbit,' I knew that you'd come round to correct the terminology. :D
Everyday Astronaut isn't the only site. Websites and news organizations tend to be sloppy when dealing with space or any technical news. Our local 24 hour news channel, which usually knows better, noted how the second Starship landed in the ocean north of Hawaii :roll:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Isgrimnur »

raydude wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 11:31 am I now have my own asteroid. Had to choose between announcing it here or in the "How is your career going" thread, since this was a result of my work.

This was announced at the Asteroid, Comets, and Meteorites conference last June but I just found out today.


So you're two orbits old!
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Isgrimnur »

jztemple2 wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:00 pm
Kraken wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 9:56 am Great show so far. Starship is in orbit and going through its test program. That's the largest single payload ever placed in orbit (according to the Everyday Astronaut, whose channel I landed on) by quite a large margin. There isn't much to see for the next 15-20 minutes.
Not to be picky, but my understanding of orbit is that it is a "regular, repeating path that one object in space takes around another one". So Starship didn't achieve orbit, but was on a suborbital trajectory. Still, better than the last launch.
Suborbital was suboptimal?
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Isgrimnur wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:02 pm Suborbital was suboptimal?
If I go outside and throw a ball in the air, it's in a suborbital trajectory :wink:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Isgrimnur »

CNN
Musk has said he was more confident this flight will be successful compared with the 2023 attempts. A success would potentially give the company crucial data that could allow Starship to move on to more difficult test flights.

“I don’t want to jinx it, but I think the probability of reaching orbit is good — 80%,” he said during a recent talk posted to social media. “Certainly the third flight is a much better rocket than flights one or two.”
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Isgrimnur wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:28 pm CNN
Musk has said he was more confident this flight will be successful compared with the 2023 attempts. A success would potentially give the company crucial data that could allow Starship to move on to more difficult test flights.

“I don’t want to jinx it, but I think the probability of reaching orbit is good — 80%,” he said during a recent talk posted to social media. “Certainly the third flight is a much better rocket than flights one or two.”
And you'd believe Elon Musk over me????? :wink:

Seriously though, there was never any intent to achieve a stable orbit. I'm thinking he's confusing orbit with orbital altitude. The intent was always for Starship to drop into the Indian ocean along a planned corridor. They were planning a relight of the Raptor engines in space, but not with the intent of circularizing the orbit.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Kraken »

jztemple2 wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:37 pm
Zaxxon wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 1:22 pm And JZ, in my head when I was typing 'orbit,' I knew that you'd come round to correct the terminology. :D
Everyday Astronaut isn't the only site. Websites and news organizations tend to be sloppy when dealing with space or any technical news. Our local 24 hour news channel, which usually knows better, noted how the second Starship landed in the ocean north of Hawaii :roll:
I knew it was supposed to be suborbital but the TV dude made me second-guess myself. Still, they could have attained orbit had that been on the menu, so close enough.

I would call today a qualified success and hope the FAA doesn't drag its feet this time.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Kraken wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 3:28 pm Still, they could have attained orbit had that been on the menu, so close enough.

I would call today a qualified success and hope the FAA doesn't drag its feet this time.
The process for SpaceX to formally plan and get approved a Starship orbital mission will be interesting. For today's flight, Integrated Flight Test 3 (IFT-3), there was a planned splashdown zone in the Indian Ocean (I can't find that image :() which was hundreds of miles long to accommodate variations in the trajectory given Starship by the Super Heavy Booster.

For an orbital test where Starship is inserted into a stable orbit, the splashdown zone will also have to be long enough to accommodate issues like failure for the Raptors to do a long enough retro-burn, failure to get the velocity vector on target, etc. However, and here's the really interesting bit, what if after being on orbit the engines of the Starship fail to operate? Eventually the orbit of the Starship will decay and that really, really big piece of hardware will come down... somewhere.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Hrdina »

I'm glad jz saved me the trouble of grumbling about use of the term "orbit". :D

I think, or at least hope, that they won't try to reach orbit until they demonstrate successful relight of the raptors in space.

I'm sure they had a really good reason for skipping that "stretch goal" test today.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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This is where I want to go to the beach :D

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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I really look forward to seeing that tower snag a landing rocket with its chopsticks. Feels like that day might be a long way off, but maybe not if they can keep advancing at the rate they did between flights 2 and 3.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by GnomeGlimmer »

Titan, one of Saturn's moons, boasts lakes and rivers—but they're filled with liquid methane and ethane, not water. Imagine boating on hydrocarbon lakes instead of water ones! :horse:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by jztemple2 »

Starship reentering the atmosphere, apparently tail first. Camera view is looking aft I believe. Not really sure now :roll:

Enlarge Image

Here is the video from Spacelflight Now, starting at the acquisition of the reentry video feed. I can't seem to get the imbed to work correctly, so just click the link to send you to a YouTube page
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Isgrimnur »

jztemple2 wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 11:55 pm
Here is the video from Spacelflight Now, starting at the acquisition of the reentry video feed. I can't seem to get the imbed to work correctly, so just click the link to send you to a YouTube page
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Thank you!
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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:handgestures-thumbupleft:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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jztemple2 wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 3:18 pm
Isgrimnur wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 2:28 pm CNN
Musk has said he was more confident this flight will be successful compared with the 2023 attempts. A success would potentially give the company crucial data that could allow Starship to move on to more difficult test flights.

“I don’t want to jinx it, but I think the probability of reaching orbit is good — 80%,” he said during a recent talk posted to social media. “Certainly the third flight is a much better rocket than flights one or two.”
And you'd believe Elon Musk over me????? :wink:

Seriously though, there was never any intent to achieve a stable orbit. I'm thinking he's confusing orbit with orbital altitude. The intent was always for Starship to drop into the Indian ocean along a planned corridor. They were planning a relight of the Raptor engines in space, but not with the intent of circularizing the orbit.
So I tracked down that interview to see if maybe the question was phrased such that Elon got tripped up, but I agree with jz - looks like Elon confused orbital altitude with orbit. In any case, I agree that, barring the mishap, Starship hit all its goals. It was a suborbital flight, yes, but that was the plan.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Kraken wrote: Thu Dec 14, 2023 12:49 am Voyager 1 is speaking gibberish.
In order to come up with a solution for the space probe, NASA engineers are looking through original documents that were written decades ago. “As a result, it takes time for the team to understand how a new command will affect the spacecraft’s operations in order to avoid unintended consequences,” the space agency wrote.

The spacecraft is so far away that it takes 22.5 hours for commands from Earth to reach Voyager 1 and vice versa. That means the mission team has to wait 45 hours to find out whether the command they sent out was effective.
It's mind-boggling that they will probably be able to fix it 46 years and 15B miles after it left Earth. I hope V'ger gets one light-day away before falling silent.
Aging Voyager 1 sends back surprising response after ‘poke’ from Earth
The team sent a command, called a “poke,” to Voyager 1 on March 1 to get the flight data system to run different software sequences in case some type of glitch was causing the issue.

On March 3, the team noticed that activity from one part of the flight data system stood out from the rest of the garbled data. While the signal wasn’t in the format the Voyager team is used to when the flight data system is functioning as expected, an engineer with NASA’s Deep Space Network was able to decode it.
...
The decoded signal included a readout of the entire flight data system’s memory, according to an update NASA shared.

“The (flight data system) memory includes its code, or instructions for what to do, as well as variables, or values used in the code that can change based on commands or the spacecraft’s status,” according to a NASA blog post. “It also contains science or engineering data for downlink. The team will compare this readout to the one that came down before the issue arose and look for discrepancies in the code and the variables to potentially find the source of the ongoing issue.”
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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raydude wrote: Fri Mar 15, 2024 10:04 am So I tracked down that interview to see if maybe the question was phrased such that Elon got tripped up, but I agree with jz - looks like Elon confused orbital altitude with orbit. In any case, I agree that, barring the mishap, Starship hit all its goals. It was a suborbital flight, yes, but that was the plan.
They did miss one important planned milestone, restarting a Raptor while in zero-G. This is crucial because they cannot plan an orbital flight until they can demonstrate that they can reliably fire a Raptor while on orbit so as to achieve a planned reentry.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Kraken »

Fixing 50-year-old software from 15 billion miles away? Yup, NASA does that. (Maybe.)
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Yes, Berger is a SpaceX cheerleader, but still: After Thursday’s flight, Starship is already the most revolutionary rocket ever built.

Essentially, even though the top-line goals of Starship: rapid reusability, landing on other celestial bodies, etc are likely years away, we're already at a crazy point.
Because of a relentless focus on costs and cheap building materials, such as stainless steel, SpaceX can likely build and launch a fully expendable version of Starship for about $100 million. Most of that money is in the booster, with its 33 engines. So once Super Heavy becomes reusable, you can probably cut manufacturing costs down to about $30 million per launch.

This means that, within a year or so, SpaceX will have a rocket that costs about $30 million and lifts 100 to 150 metric tons to low-Earth orbit.

Bluntly, this is absurd.

For fun, we could compare that to some existing rockets. NASA's Space Launch System, for example, can lift up to 95 tons to low-Earth orbit. That's nearly as much as Starship. But it costs $2.2 billion per launch, plus additional ground systems fees. So it's almost a factor of 100 times more expensive for less throw weight. Also, the SLS rocket can fly once per year at most.

Then there's the European Space Agency's Vega rocket. Its costs are roughly on par with a Starship that has a reusable first stage. For $37 million, with Vega, you get about 1.5 metric tons to low-Earth orbit. Again, that's a factor of 100 times less payload than Starship.

Perhaps you're beginning to understand the revolution that's underway with the Starship vehicle?

But it's not just the cost or the payload. It's the cadence. SpaceX has four more Starships, essentially, ready to go. We have already seen SpaceX's proficiency with the Falcon 9 rocket. Does anyone doubt we'll see double-digit Starship launches in 2025 and many dozens per year during the second half of this decade? Access to space used to be a rare commodity. What happens to our species and its commerce in space when access is not rare or expensive?

This is the future into which we got a glimpse this week.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Zaxxon wrote: Fri Mar 15, 2024 4:15 pm Yes, Berger is a SpaceX cheerleader, but still: After Thursday’s flight, Starship is already the most revolutionary rocket ever built.

Essentially, even though the top-line goals of Starship: rapid reusability, landing on other celestial bodies, etc are likely years away, we're already at a crazy point.
Because of a relentless focus on costs and cheap building materials, such as stainless steel, SpaceX can likely build and launch a fully expendable version of Starship for about $100 million. Most of that money is in the booster, with its 33 engines. So once Super Heavy becomes reusable, you can probably cut manufacturing costs down to about $30 million per launch.

This means that, within a year or so, SpaceX will have a rocket that costs about $30 million and lifts 100 to 150 metric tons to low-Earth orbit.

Bluntly, this is absurd.

For fun, we could compare that to some existing rockets. NASA's Space Launch System, for example, can lift up to 95 tons to low-Earth orbit. That's nearly as much as Starship. But it costs $2.2 billion per launch, plus additional ground systems fees. So it's almost a factor of 100 times more expensive for less throw weight. Also, the SLS rocket can fly once per year at most.

Then there's the European Space Agency's Vega rocket. Its costs are roughly on par with a Starship that has a reusable first stage. For $37 million, with Vega, you get about 1.5 metric tons to low-Earth orbit. Again, that's a factor of 100 times less payload than Starship.

Perhaps you're beginning to understand the revolution that's underway with the Starship vehicle?

But it's not just the cost or the payload. It's the cadence. SpaceX has four more Starships, essentially, ready to go. We have already seen SpaceX's proficiency with the Falcon 9 rocket. Does anyone doubt we'll see double-digit Starship launches in 2025 and many dozens per year during the second half of this decade? Access to space used to be a rare commodity. What happens to our species and its commerce in space when access is not rare or expensive?

This is the future into which we got a glimpse this week.
No doubt Starship is a game changer. But to that last question, space is still a hash environment to work in. Companies that make instruments or spacecraft for the first time find out real quick what can or cannot work in space. Or to put it another way - SpaceX can get you there. It's up to you to make your shit work once it's there.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Kraken »

Imagine being able to build something like the JWST without all the crazy origami it had to deploy. The payloads that will be designed to take full advantage of Starship's capacity are going to be amazing.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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That's a quick lift to 100 km.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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I think that there's some wishful thinking in Berger's article. Costs are probably going to be better than SLS and Vega for bucks per pound to LEO, but the question becomes, will there be that much of need for all that capacity? Consider how much of SpaceX's traffic is due to Starlink, without that the cost per flight would be higher because there are overhead costs whether you are flying that day or not. Starship is going to have significantly greater overhead costs even if you just consider the manpower needed to maintain a launch facility of that size, not to mention the engine refurb facilities, etc.
Does anyone doubt we'll see double-digit Starship launches in 2025 and many dozens per year during the second half of this decade?
Me for one. Falcon 9 is a pretty conventional rocket aside from the reusable first stage and look how many years it took to get the recovery of the first stage working right. For the Super Heavy Booster, it's going to be significantly trickier. As for Starship, a safe and recoverable landing is going to be even harder.

By the way, hadn't really thought about something till now, but for the first manned Starship flight, what is the abort scenario plan? The crew will be in the same vehicle as lots and lots of propellants. Hmm :think:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Kraken »

You think Starship + Super Heavy is big? This Scott Manley video from a couple of years ago shows some REALLY big rockets that never flew...but theoretically could have.

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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jztemple2 wrote: Fri Mar 15, 2024 7:01 pm I think that there's some wishful thinking in Berger's article. Costs are probably going to be better than SLS and Vega for bucks per pound to LEO, but the question becomes, will there be that much of need for all that capacity? Consider how much of SpaceX's traffic is due to Starlink, without that the cost per flight would be higher because there are overhead costs whether you are flying that day or not. Starship is going to have significantly greater overhead costs even if you just consider the manpower needed to maintain a launch facility of that size, not to mention the engine refurb facilities, etc.
Never fear! The Space Force is here to buy some launches! Seriously though I did not envision the Pentagon looking at Starship as a possible asset but it makes sense I suppose.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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From the above quoted article:
However, the advantage the U.S. will get with Starship “won’t last forever,” and it will take years to build satellites specifically designed to take advantage of the rocket’s payload capacity, said Todd Harrison, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

“At this rate, they will have Starship operational this year. We need payloads to go on that, if we're actually going to take advantage of it during this window of opportunity when it's a capability only we have. If you want those payloads available next year, you needed to start building them five years ago,” Harrison said.
I think that the definition of "operational" is rather in the eye of the user. For NASA, operational means fulfilling all the requirements of the HLS, but if you just are looking to chuck a bunch of satellites into orbit, you don't really care if you recover the Starship or the booster and certainly it doesn't have to be man-rated.

It's more about how much you want to bleed the American taxpayer :wink:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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45 Years Ago: Space Shuttle Columbia Arrives at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center
On March 24, 1979, space shuttle Columbia arrived at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center (KSC) for the very first time. Following Presidential direction to build the space shuttle in 1972, Congress quickly approved and funded the program later that year. Construction of the first orbital vehicle, later named Columbia, began in 1975. Four years later, Columbia completed its first transcontinental flight, arriving at KSC to begin preparations for its first mission. The first shuttle flight in April 1981 ushered in an era of reusable space transportation.
I was there! :D :pop:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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In 1976 I saw Werner von Braun give a slide presentation (multimedia!) on the soon-to-be shuttle era. He was less enthusiastic about it than I was. A fully reusable space shuttle had been part of his bootstrap approach to the moon and Mars, and this vehicle wasn't going to cut it, but Werner was toeing the NASA line.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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I was 10 years old. I had my metal toy modified Boeing 747 Shuttle Carrier Aircraft and the Space Shuttle with it to fly around the universe in my hands back then.

Thats still pretty amazing today. Imagine seeing a spaceship piggyback on a jumbo jet today at an airport. Must have been a sight.

And what do you know they have a video on that.

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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A unique take on the UFO phenomenon.

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Astronomers Fight to Save X-ray Telescope as NASA Dishes Out Budget Cuts
In NASA’s latest budget request to Congress earlier this month, Chandra comes up short. The telescope—and its science—are degraded, NASA officials say; given the current climate of stopgap budget deals and correspondingly tighter purse strings, the agency has chosen to hasten the telescope’s end, freeing up the most of the $68 million per year currently spent on it over the course of the next five years.
...
But the decision is too hasty, say some astronomers, who have banded together to launch a “Save Chandra” campaign to prolong the telescope’s life. The justification given to retire the telescope is flawed, they say – the telescope is not in as bad a shape as NASA suggests. “Are there issues with the spacecraft? Yes,” says Patrick Slane, director of the Chandra X-ray Center in Massachusetts, which runs the telescope. “Do they necessitate this action? No.” More importantly, ending the telescope would leave a considerable x-ray blind spot in U.S. (and global) astronomy, with no telescope currently in service or active development that could replicate or expand upon Chandra’s capabilities.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Zaxxon »

Static fires on the next Starship have begun…

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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CAPE CANAVERAL SPACE FORCE STATION — United Launch Alliance will launch for the final time its Delta IV Heavy rocket on Thursday afternoon.

What You Need To Know
The launch window opens at 2:45 p.m. ET, Thursday

The liftoff will take place at Space Launch Complex-37 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station

This will be the Delta IV Heavy’s 16th and final launch
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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And just like that, the launch has been scrubbed, next attempt 1:37pm tomorrow.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

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Pluto a planet? Another brilliant video from Angela Collier. Too bad I didn't have this cued up on April 1.

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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by jztemple2 »

I jumped about a bit in the video but lost interest. I also find the excessive use of the word "like" in situations beyond comparisons off-putting... like it bothers me :wink:

NASA, Lockheed Martin working to resolve Artemis II Orion issues, deliver spacecraft around summer’s end. Very long, very technical article, but worth reading if you are interested in the nitty-gritty of preparing a spacecraft to carry people out to the moon :shock:
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by jztemple2 »

Mysterious object that crashed through Florida home was likely space junk from the International Space Station
A mysterious object that came crashing through a house in Florida is possibly debris from the International Space Station (ISS).

The cylindrical tube was a few inches long and weighed nearly 2 pounds (0.9 kilograms). It crashed through the roof and both floors of Alejandro Otero's home in Naples, Florida, at 2:34 p.m. local time on March 8, startling his son.

The origins of the object have yet to be determined, but Otero thinks it's likely one of nine drained batteries discarded from the ISS. Earlier the same day, a large cargo pallet carrying the batteries and belonging to the Japanese space agency JAXA re-entered Earth's atmosphere over the Gulf of Mexico. Jettisoned from the space station in 2021, the debris was expected to burn up in the atmosphere; at least one piece may have survived reentry.
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Re: SPACE - random thread about space stuff

Post by Kraken »

Hello, Quincy Mutual? You're not going to believe this....
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