Semaj wrote:Grund: Your miss strategy has one minor minor flaw....
The Evil guys have a scan... As such they can search for Bat's and WW freely when we use supes miss.
They're going to do that tonight
no matter what we do. Whom we lynch doesn't affect the quantity or quality of their scans.
This is what point they are trying to hammer home. Its saves a miss, but gives them more time to look for the people they fear most.
Scenario 01:
Day: JL death
Night: JL death, Evil Scan, Good Scan
Scenario 02:
Day: No JL death
Night: JL death, Evil Scan, Good Scan
Explain to me how Scenario 02 counts as an "extra" scan, or gives Evil
"more time" to scan.
The scenarios are identical with respect to time and opportunity, with the single, isolated exception that we trade Likely Helping The Badguys By Teamkilling for a pass.
Yes yes I know WW is also scanning, but a feww scan for them is probably better than a free scan
Where are they getting a free scan? They're going to scan tonight
no matter what. Nothing we do can affect that, unless Green Lantern gets lucky.
for us since they pool they scan has 2 or 3 less in it.
That's already the case, since apparently MM decided to out Superman.
Supes miss is phenominal when we dont know we are using it.
All it does is save us from a possible teamkill. That's true no matter when we use it. The surprise factor is just window dressing.
Right now, the odds of a teamkill are at their highest, and Superman (now outed) will be hard and costly to keep alive.
But now that he's outted, trying to save it isnt a bad ploy. Killing him is by far and away their best move, but they dont know what WW is going to do. Do they shoot blindly at people, do they go for him and hope she isnt protecting? They have a _lot_ of work on their hands.
They're tangled, but we're hampered as long as Superman is an albatross.
The question is, how can you not have figured this into all your arguing...
See above. They don't get an extra anything; they're going to scan no matter what. Meanwhile, we have two options: (a) a likely teamkill that actually
does benefit the baddies, or (b) a pass that benefits only the JL.